LG Energy Solution Signs Major Battery Supply Deal with Mercedes-Benz — What’s Next for the Stock?
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The EV industry is drawing attention once again as LG Energy Solution announced a massive battery supply agreement with Mercedes-Benz worth approximately 2 trillion KRW. The contract spans from 2028 to 2035, reinforcing LG Energy Solution’s position in the global EV market. Investors are now wondering: “Is this the start of a new uptrend?” or “Could this signal the end of the EV downturn?” Today, let’s break down the meaning of this Mercedes-Benz deal and explore what it could mean for LG Energy Solution’s stock outlook.
1. Why Is the Mercedes-Benz Battery Deal So Significant?
LG Energy Solution secured a long-term contract to supply batteries to Mercedes-Benz, valued at roughly 2.06 trillion KRW. The agreement runs from March 2028 to June 2035—over seven years of continuous supply. This provides strong visibility for future revenue and indicates a stable business pipeline.
Mercedes-Benz has been expanding its premium EV lineup, making battery sourcing a key focus. This contract demonstrates that LG Energy Solution continues to maintain competitive partnerships with major automakers in Europe and North America. Securing a top-tier global brand like Mercedes-Benz—especially amid intense competition in the battery industry—is a meaningful win for the company’s long-term value.
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🟦 2. Short-Term Impact on the Stock: Positive Sentiment Now, Financial Impact Later
The market reacted positively immediately after the announcement. Long-term supply agreements generally boost investor confidence by solidifying future revenue prospects.
However, a sharp short-term stock surge may be unlikely due to several factors:
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Actual revenue reflection begins after 2028, not immediately
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Global EV demand remains sluggish
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Intensifying price competition in the battery market affects margins
In short, while the news is undeniably positive, investors should recognize that this deal does not translate into instant earnings improvement. Still, the long-term order book strengthens LG Energy Solution’s fundamentals.
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🟦 3. What Will Drive Future Stock Direction? EV Recovery and IRA Benefits Are Key
For a meaningful stock rebound, LG Energy Solution will need more than a single major contract. Several broader trends will be essential moving forward:
✔ Global EV Demand Recovery
If EV sales bottom out and begin to rise again, battery manufacturers—including LG Energy Solution—stand to benefit from a sector-wide momentum shift.
✔ U.S. IRA (Inflation Reduction Act) Incentives
With multiple joint ventures in North America, LG Energy Solution is heavily tied to IRA subsidies. Changes in U.S. government policy could significantly influence profitability.
✔ Additional Large-Scale Supply Contracts
More partnerships with companies like Hyundai/Kia, Stellantis, and GM would create strong catalysts for stock revaluation.
Overall, LG Energy Solution appears to be a mid- to long-term upward story rather than a short-term trading opportunity, and the Mercedes-Benz deal reinforces that trajectory.
*This post contains affiliate links. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases.
🟦 4. Overall Stock Outlook: 2025 for Stabilization, Mid- to Long-Term for Real Growth
Although the company has faced headwinds due to the EV market slowdown, its expanding order book and North American production footprint suggest a solid growth roadmap. The Mercedes-Benz agreement is a significant milestone within that narrative.
Many analysts expect 2025 to be a consolidation year for the stock, with a potential uptrend beginning between 2026 and 2028 as large-scale supply deals translate into tangible performance. Once the contract officially begins in 2028, it may trigger another phase of corporate revaluation.
For investors, focusing on order backlog growth, customer diversification, and IRA-related developments is likely to be more effective than reacting to short-term volatility.
🔸 Disclaimer
*This article is based on publicly available reports, disclosures, and official announcements. It is provided solely for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. All investment decisions should be made independently and at your own risk. Please refer to the company’s IR materials and regulatory filings for the latest updates.
*The information in this article is provided for informational purposes only. All investment decisions and results are solely the responsibility of the investor.
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